Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 33 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Strome 51.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 47-37 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 59.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 81.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 63.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
37
(84 meetings)
47
37
Larkin
Strome
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
15
Larkin
Strome
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
25
8
Larkin
Strome
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
18
14
Larkin
Strome
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
50.1% (6,337)
+1.6%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
58.4% (1,519)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
45.6% (68)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
54.0% (6,238)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
52.2% (3,956)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.7%
50.4%
P2
53.1%
52.1%
P3
52.1%
52.3%
OT
58.4%
52.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 02:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 02:42 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |