Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Strome 48.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 84.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 69.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 76.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Larkin
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
3
Larkin
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Larkin
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
48.3% (894)
+5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
50.5% (182)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
66.7% (6)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
56.6% (700)
46.4% (513)
Away
52.1% (655)
51.0% (569)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
55.4%
44.9%
P2
54.7%
50.8%
P3
52.7%
49.7%
OT
59.1%
77.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |