Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Compher 48.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 76.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Larkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Larkin
Compher
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Compher
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin
Compher
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
50.0% (480)
+1.0%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
52.9% (51)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
40.2% (184)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Compher is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Larkin
Compher
Home
54.9% (721)
51.2% (328)
Away
49.6% (641)
44.7% (387)
By Period
Larkin
Compher
P1
52.4%
50.4%
P2
50.8%
47.2%
P3
54.4%
46.2%
OT
43.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |