Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Compher 51.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 56.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Larkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larkin
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
52.2% (471)
-0.4%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
65.6% (61)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
41.6% (125)
+5.8%
On power play, Compher has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Larkin
Compher
Home
55.6% (662)
54.4% (362)
Away
48.3% (542)
47.8% (295)
By Period
Larkin
Compher
P1
49.9%
49.6%
P2
52.7%
53.6%
P3
53.0%
51.4%
OT
68.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |