Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Eichel 45.9% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 81.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 79.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Larkin
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Larkin
Eichel
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
Eichel
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Eichel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
4
Larkin
Eichel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
45.9% (1,044)
+6.7%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
55.9% (59)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
39.7% (151)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eichel
Home
54.7% (783)
46.5% (606)
Away
54.3% (816)
44.8% (648)
By Period
Larkin
Eichel
P1
55.9%
47.2%
P2
56.1%
46.9%
P3
51.1%
42.7%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |