Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Eichel 45.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 86-56 in 142 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 93.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 91.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Larkin
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
86
-
56
(142 meetings)
86
56
Larkin
Eichel
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
21
22
Larkin
Eichel
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
38
11
Larkin
Eichel
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
27
23
Larkin
Eichel
50 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
44.7% (8,462)
+7.0%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.8% (925)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
38.3% (540)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eichel
Home
54.0% (6,238)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Larkin
Eichel
P1
52.7%
45.4%
P2
53.1%
45.8%
P3
52.1%
44.2%
OT
58.4%
44.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |