Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Eichel 48.1% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 67.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Larkin
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Larkin
Eichel
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
4
Larkin
Eichel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Eichel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
47.7% (858)
+4.0%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
55.6% (63)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
44.8% (87)
+3.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Larkin
Eichel
Home
52.4% (647)
47.7% (509)
Away
52.7% (643)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Larkin
Eichel
P1
52.2%
49.5%
P2
53.1%
48.5%
P3
51.7%
46.8%
OT
61.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:53 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |