Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Benn 55.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 62.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Larkin
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Larkin
Benn
Last 9: Larkin 3-6 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
4
Larkin
Benn
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Larkin
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
57.7% (366)
-8.2%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
50.0% (88)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
54.2% (24)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Benn is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Larkin
Benn
Home
48.5% (388)
55.9% (254)
Away
50.6% (342)
56.3% (224)
By Period
Larkin
Benn
P1
52.1%
56.6%
P2
46.9%
55.6%
P3
49.2%
54.1%
OT
55.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 19, 2021 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |