Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Benn 48.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 72.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Larkin
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Larkin
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
44.3% (61)
+7.4%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
58.8% (17)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
50.0% (2)
-1.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Benn is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Larkin
Benn
Home
52.4% (647)
47.4% (38)
Away
52.7% (643)
47.6% (42)
By Period
Larkin
Benn
P1
52.2%
32.0%
P2
53.1%
67.9%
P3
51.7%
40.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |