Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Benn 59.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 51.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 71.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Larkin
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Larkin
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Larkin
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Larkin
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
61.8% (584)
-8.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
56.7% (224)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
56.1% (57)
-7.4%
On even strength, Benn has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Larkin
Benn
Home
56.6% (700)
64.4% (433)
Away
52.1% (655)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Larkin
Benn
P1
55.4%
61.8%
P2
54.7%
59.6%
P3
52.7%
59.2%
OT
59.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 10, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:48 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |