Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Benn 55.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 57.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 64.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 51.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Larkin
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Larkin
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
3
Larkin
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Larkin
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
55.9% (365)
-3.3%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
56.8% (132)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
53.1% (32)
+2.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Benn is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (329).
Home / Away
Larkin
Benn
Home
54.7% (783)
57.3% (267)
Away
54.3% (816)
54.6% (262)
By Period
Larkin
Benn
P1
55.9%
54.3%
P2
56.1%
55.7%
P3
51.1%
58.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |