Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Dickinson 47.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 69.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 67.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Larkin
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Larkin
Dickinson
Last 6: Larkin 5-1 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Larkin
Dickinson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
47.4% (272)
+2.1%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
42.9% (7)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
29.4% (17)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Dickinson is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dickinson
Home
48.5% (388)
47.4% (175)
Away
50.6% (342)
44.6% (121)
By Period
Larkin
Dickinson
P1
52.1%
38.8%
P2
46.9%
50.5%
P3
49.2%
48.5%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |