Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Dickinson 50.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 92.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Larkin
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Larkin
Dickinson
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Dickinson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Dickinson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Dickinson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
51.2% (912)
+4.7%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
63.8% (58)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
42.9% (266)
+3.3%
On power play, Dickinson has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dickinson
Home
56.0% (654)
52.9% (664)
Away
54.8% (639)
46.7% (572)
By Period
Larkin
Dickinson
P1
54.4%
49.0%
P2
55.9%
48.3%
P3
55.2%
52.5%
OT
64.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |