Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Dickinson 48.0% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 92.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 80.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Larkin
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Larkin
Dickinson
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Dickinson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Dickinson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
2
Larkin
Dickinson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
48.6% (626)
+5.0%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
44.0% (25)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
44.2% (120)
+4.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dickinson
Home
56.6% (700)
45.4% (368)
Away
52.1% (655)
49.9% (403)
By Period
Larkin
Dickinson
P1
55.4%
49.2%
P2
54.7%
46.3%
P3
52.7%
48.1%
OT
59.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |