Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Dickinson 49.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 75.8%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 52.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Larkin
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Larkin
Dickinson
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
0
Larkin
Dickinson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
3
Larkin
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
6
Larkin
Dickinson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
51.5% (695)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
54.5% (11)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
42.4% (210)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dickinson
Home
54.7% (783)
53.6% (489)
Away
54.3% (816)
44.7% (427)
By Period
Larkin
Dickinson
P1
55.9%
47.7%
P2
56.1%
52.1%
P3
51.1%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |