Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Bailey 44.3% (+13.2%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 55.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Larkin
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
39.8% (83)
+12.0%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
27.3% (22)
+28.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
80.0% (5)
-32.6%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bailey
Home
55.6% (662)
33.3% (48)
Away
48.3% (542)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Larkin
Bailey
P1
49.9%
33.3%
P2
52.7%
47.2%
P3
53.0%
39.4%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%