Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Bailey 45.9% (+12.7%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 60.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 74.5%
Neutral zone
Bailey 53.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Larkin
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
41.7% (84)
+11.9%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
28.6% (7)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
60.0% (5)
-11.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bailey
Home
56.6% (700)
37.9% (58)
Away
52.1% (655)
47.4% (38)
By Period
Larkin
Bailey
P1
55.4%
47.2%
P2
54.7%
41.7%
P3
52.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%