Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Okposo 47.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 62.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 73.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Larkin
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larkin
Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Okposo
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Okposo
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Okposo
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
48.6% (276)
+5.0%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
46.4% (28)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
37.0% (46)
+11.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Okposo is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Larkin
Okposo
Home
56.6% (700)
47.4% (156)
Away
52.1% (655)
46.4% (194)
By Period
Larkin
Okposo
P1
55.4%
45.8%
P2
54.7%
50.3%
P3
52.7%
41.4%
OT
59.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |