Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Okposo 48.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 88.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 77.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Larkin
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Larkin
Okposo
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Okposo
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Okposo
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Okposo
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
49.1% (1,513)
+2.6%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
50.1% (391)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
39.7% (151)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Home / Away
Larkin
Okposo
Home
54.0% (6,238)
50.2% (990)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
47.1% (1,065)
By Period
Larkin
Okposo
P1
52.7%
48.8%
P2
53.1%
49.6%
P3
52.1%
47.3%
OT
58.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |