Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Okposo shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Okposo 48.3% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 87.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 80.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 76.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Larkin
Okposo
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Larkin
Okposo
Last 5: Larkin 4-1 Okposo
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Okposo
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Okposo
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Okposo
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Okposo
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
50.5% (218)
+5.4%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
51.6% (31)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
19.2% (26)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Okposo shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Okposo is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Larkin
Okposo
Home
56.0% (654)
48.8% (127)
Away
54.8% (639)
46.6% (148)
By Period
Larkin
Okposo
P1
54.4%
41.1%
P2
55.9%
44.2%
P3
55.2%
60.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |