Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs McLeod 56.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 87.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Larkin
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
McLeod
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Larkin
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
58.3% (859)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (28)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
53.0% (168)
-5.6%
On even strength, McLeod has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Larkin
McLeod
Home
55.6% (662)
55.3% (526)
Away
48.3% (542)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Larkin
McLeod
P1
49.9%
60.7%
P2
52.7%
55.9%
P3
53.0%
55.2%
OT
68.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |