Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs McLeod 59.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 92.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 85.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Larkin
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Larkin
McLeod
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
McLeod
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
61.5% (792)
-7.9%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
65.2% (23)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
55.6% (153)
-6.9%
On even strength, McLeod has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Larkin
McLeod
Home
56.6% (700)
62.0% (460)
Away
52.1% (655)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Larkin
McLeod
P1
55.4%
61.5%
P2
54.7%
63.6%
P3
52.7%
56.2%
OT
59.1%
73.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |