Dylan Larkin vs Mitchell Stephens
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 55.6%). Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Stephens 53.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephens 56.3%
Defensive zone
Stephens 71.0%
Neutral zone
Stephens 65.2%
Result
Mitchell Stephens favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Larkin
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Larkin
Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Stephens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Larkin
Stephens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Larkin
Stephens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
56.6% (122)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
0.0% (1)
+57.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
50.0% (12)
-3.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Stephens is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stephens
Home
56.0% (654)
52.9% (68)
Away
54.8% (639)
58.2% (67)
By Period
Larkin
Stephens
P1
54.4%
56.7%
P2
55.9%
46.3%
P3
55.2%
64.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |