Dylan Larkin vs Mitchell Stephens
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.6%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Stephens 52.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.0%
Defensive zone
Stephens 66.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Larkin
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Larkin
Stephens
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Stephens
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
3
Larkin
Stephens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Larkin
Stephens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
54.5% (795)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
21.4% (14)
+37.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
47.2% (178)
+3.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Stephens is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (709).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stephens
Home
54.0% (6,238)
54.1% (471)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
51.3% (517)
By Period
Larkin
Stephens
P1
52.7%
53.6%
P2
53.1%
50.7%
P3
52.1%
54.3%
OT
58.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |