Dylan Larkin vs Mitchell Stephens
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.6%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Stephens 52.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 78.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Larkin
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Stephens
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Stephens
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
2
Larkin
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
57.0% (135)
-4.4%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
0.0% (5)
+60.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
50.0% (54)
+5.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +60.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Stephens is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Larkin
Stephens
Home
54.7% (783)
53.9% (89)
Away
54.3% (816)
53.3% (105)
By Period
Larkin
Stephens
P1
55.9%
47.4%
P2
56.1%
57.7%
P3
51.1%
57.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |