Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 77.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Larkin
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
50.7% (906)
+5.2%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
48.1% (108)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
44.4% (239)
+1.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bjugstad
Home
56.0% (654)
49.8% (643)
Away
54.8% (639)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Larkin
Bjugstad
P1
54.4%
49.4%
P2
55.9%
50.5%
P3
55.2%
47.9%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%