Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 50.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 50.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Larkin
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
46.7% (398)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
51.6% (31)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
62.5% (8)
-6.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bjugstad
Home
54.7% (783)
47.3% (220)
Away
54.3% (816)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Larkin
Bjugstad
P1
55.9%
46.1%
P2
56.1%
46.3%
P3
51.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%