Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.4%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Bonino 51.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 68.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Larkin
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Larkin
Bonino
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Larkin
Bonino
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
3
Larkin
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
51.7% (777)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
60.0% (50)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
43.9% (98)
+3.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bonino
Home
55.6% (662)
48.2% (461)
Away
48.3% (542)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Larkin
Bonino
P1
49.9%
54.1%
P2
52.7%
49.7%
P3
53.0%
50.7%
OT
68.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 04:03 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |