Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Bonino 48.5% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Larkin
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
48.1% (324)
+5.5%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
57.9% (38)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
44.3% (88)
+4.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bonino
Home
56.6% (700)
52.0% (244)
Away
52.1% (655)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Larkin
Bonino
P1
55.4%
48.0%
P2
54.7%
42.9%
P3
52.7%
53.9%
OT
59.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%