Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Bonino 50.8% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 82.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Larkin
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Bonino
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Larkin
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
51.8% (305)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
48.5% (101)
-2.3%
On even strength, Larkin has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bonino
Home
56.0% (654)
53.1% (177)
Away
54.8% (639)
49.3% (229)
By Period
Larkin
Bonino
P1
54.4%
55.9%
P2
55.9%
49.6%
P3
55.2%
47.6%
OT
64.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |