Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Hischier 54.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 71.9%
Defensive zone
Hischier 54.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Larkin
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Larkin
Hischier
Last 10: Larkin 9-1 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
55.0% (1,107)
-3.3%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
63.1% (252)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
43.6% (149)
+4.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hischier
Home
52.4% (647)
56.5% (763)
Away
52.7% (643)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Larkin
Hischier
P1
52.2%
56.0%
P2
53.1%
57.6%
P3
51.7%
53.0%
OT
61.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |