Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.9%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Hischier 53.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 55.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 53.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 55.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Larkin
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Larkin
Hischier
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
7
Larkin
Hischier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Larkin
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
52.4% (1,185)
+1.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
57.8% (315)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
57.1% (154)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hischier
Home
56.6% (700)
53.4% (844)
Away
52.1% (655)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Larkin
Hischier
P1
55.4%
49.7%
P2
54.7%
54.6%
P3
52.7%
56.1%
OT
59.1%
65.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |