Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.6%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 42 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Hischier 52.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 62-53 in 115 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Larkin
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
62
-
53
(115 meetings)
62
53
Larkin
Hischier
Last 10: Larkin 9-1 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
24
18
Larkin
Hischier
42 total
Defensive Zone
Even
17
17
Larkin
Hischier
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
21
18
Larkin
Hischier
39 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
51.5% (8,379)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
59.7% (1,736)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
49.4% (903)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hischier
Home
54.0% (6,238)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Larkin
Hischier
P1
52.7%
52.9%
P2
53.1%
52.4%
P3
52.1%
52.6%
OT
58.4%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |