Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Hischier 56.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 60.5%
Defensive zone
Hischier 50.5%
Neutral zone
Hischier 53.5%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Larkin
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Larkin
Hischier
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
4
Larkin
Hischier
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
56.1% (1,018)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
59.9% (289)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
51.3% (80)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hischier
Home
56.0% (654)
56.5% (706)
Away
54.8% (639)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Larkin
Hischier
P1
54.4%
54.8%
P2
55.9%
57.8%
P3
55.2%
57.6%
OT
64.0%
14.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |