Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Acciari 49.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 55.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Larkin
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Larkin
Acciari
Last 7: Larkin 5-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Acciari
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Larkin
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
49.9% (337)
+3.0%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
75.0% (4)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
46.8% (62)
+8.4%
On power play, Acciari has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Acciari is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Larkin
Acciari
Home
55.8% (805)
49.1% (167)
Away
53.2% (782)
50.0% (236)
By Period
Larkin
Acciari
P1
55.2%
52.4%
P2
53.3%
51.1%
P3
55.1%
45.6%
OT
51.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |