Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Acciari 50.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 57.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 60.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 61.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Larkin
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Larkin
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Larkin
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
53.1% (147)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
100.0% (2)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
23.5% (17)
+23.9%
On power play, Acciari has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Acciari is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Larkin
Acciari
Home
55.6% (662)
66.7% (33)
Away
48.3% (542)
46.6% (133)
By Period
Larkin
Acciari
P1
49.9%
50.0%
P2
52.7%
49.1%
P3
53.0%
52.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |