Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Larkin wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Bergeron 56.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 64.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Larkin
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Larkin
Bergeron
Last 10: Larkin 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
7
Larkin
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
6
Larkin
Bergeron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Larkin
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,228)
56.2% (940)
-3.3%
Power Play
63.1% (214)
61.6% (284)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (145)
50.3% (165)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Larkin shoots left. Bergeron is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bergeron
Home
55.8% (805)
57.7% (712)
Away
53.2% (782)
55.4% (677)
By Period
Larkin
Bergeron
P1
55.2%
55.0%
P2
53.3%
57.1%
P3
55.1%
58.2%
OT
51.7%
48.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |