Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 89.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 80.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 78.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Larkin
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
22
(35 meetings)
13
22
Larkin
Bergeron
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
11
Larkin
Bergeron
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
5
Larkin
Bergeron
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
6
Larkin
Bergeron
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
62.5% (1,109)
-8.9%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
62.2% (352)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
53.5% (245)
-4.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bergeron
Home
56.6% (700)
61.9% (917)
Away
52.1% (655)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Larkin
Bergeron
P1
55.4%
60.8%
P2
54.7%
60.3%
P3
52.7%
63.0%
OT
59.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |