Dylan Larkin vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 45 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 73-48 in 121 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 90.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 92.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 94.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Larkin
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
73
(121 meetings)
48
73
Larkin
Bergeron
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
13
32
Larkin
Bergeron
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
22
24
Larkin
Bergeron
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
13
17
Larkin
Bergeron
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
60.1% (13,938)
-8.4%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
60.8% (3,213)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
53.0% (2,776)
-2.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bergeron
Home
54.0% (6,238)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Larkin
Bergeron
P1
52.7%
59.3%
P2
53.1%
60.0%
P3
52.1%
58.6%
OT
58.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:36 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |