Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 81.4%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 79.1%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 78.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Larkin
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Larkin
Bergeron
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Larkin
Bergeron
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
2
Larkin
Bergeron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
3
Larkin
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
63.8% (1,102)
-12.0%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
65.3% (288)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
47.6% (210)
-0.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Larkin
Bergeron
Home
55.6% (662)
62.5% (882)
Away
48.3% (542)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Larkin
Bergeron
P1
49.9%
62.5%
P2
52.7%
62.7%
P3
53.0%
60.6%
OT
68.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |