Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Brown 56.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 83.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 66.8%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Larkin
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Brown
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Larkin
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
61.3% (336)
-9.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (4)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
45.9% (74)
+1.5%
On even strength, Brown has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Larkin
Brown
Home
55.6% (662)
61.1% (180)
Away
48.3% (542)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Larkin
Brown
P1
49.9%
57.5%
P2
52.7%
58.5%
P3
53.0%
59.2%
OT
68.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |