Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Brown 48.9% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 57.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.0%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Larkin
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
44.4% (27)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
50.0% (6)
-3.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Brown is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Larkin
Brown
Home
56.0% (654)
37.5% (8)
Away
54.8% (639)
48.0% (25)
By Period
Larkin
Brown
P1
54.4%
54.5%
P2
55.9%
40.0%
P3
55.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%