Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Brown 51.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.0%
Defensive zone
Brown 75.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 63.7%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Larkin
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Brown
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Larkin
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
52.8% (284)
+0.8%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
75.0% (4)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
49.0% (51)
-0.3%
On power play, Brown has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Larkin
Brown
Home
56.6% (700)
53.5% (144)
Away
52.1% (655)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Larkin
Brown
P1
55.4%
49.0%
P2
54.7%
48.7%
P3
52.7%
58.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |