Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Kurashev 47.3% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 62.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 54.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Larkin
Kurashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
46.3% (203)
+9.6%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
49.1% (57)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
35.7% (14)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Kurashev is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kurashev
Home
56.0% (654)
45.0% (140)
Away
54.8% (639)
47.8% (134)
By Period
Larkin
Kurashev
P1
54.4%
51.9%
P2
55.9%
44.3%
P3
55.2%
43.6%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.4%