Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kurashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Kurashev 46.9% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 61.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Larkin
Kurashev
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
50.0% (46)
+1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
40.7% (27)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
0.0% (6)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Kurashev is 30.4% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kurashev
Home
52.4% (647)
37.5% (40)
Away
52.7% (643)
48.7% (39)
By Period
Larkin
Kurashev
P1
52.2%
48.6%
P2
53.1%
40.0%
P3
51.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%