Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Suter 43.3% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Larkin
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Larkin
Suter
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
2
3
Larkin
Suter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Suter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
42.4% (740)
+10.2%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
48.0% (75)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
37.3% (59)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suter
Home
54.7% (783)
41.8% (407)
Away
54.3% (816)
43.3% (467)
By Period
Larkin
Suter
P1
55.9%
44.7%
P2
56.1%
41.5%
P3
51.1%
41.9%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 1, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Pius Suter |