Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Suter 46.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 66.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Larkin
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
13
(29 meetings)
16
13
Larkin
Suter
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
5
Larkin
Suter
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin
Suter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
5
Larkin
Suter
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
46.2% (3,208)
+5.5%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.9% (278)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
40.3% (303)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suter
Home
54.0% (6,238)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
Larkin
Suter
P1
52.7%
46.6%
P2
53.1%
46.0%
P3
52.1%
46.1%
OT
58.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 1, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:13 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |