Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Suter 48.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Larkin
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Larkin
Suter
Last 7: Larkin 4-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Suter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
50.1% (357)
+1.6%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
43.8% (16)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
40.5% (79)
+7.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Suter is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suter
Home
52.4% (647)
48.0% (223)
Away
52.7% (643)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Larkin
Suter
P1
52.2%
48.9%
P2
53.1%
47.3%
P3
51.7%
49.7%
OT
61.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |