Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Greig 45.0% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 75.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 60.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 68.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Larkin
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
45.2% (414)
+10.7%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
28.6% (14)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
28.6% (21)
+17.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Larkin
Greig
Home
56.0% (654)
46.4% (196)
Away
54.8% (639)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Larkin
Greig
P1
54.4%
40.8%
P2
55.9%
46.4%
P3
55.2%
43.9%
OT
64.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |