Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Colton 51.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.5%
Defensive zone
Colton 58.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 59.5%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Larkin
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Larkin
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Larkin
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
52.7% (524)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.9% (53)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
0.0% (4)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Larkin
Colton
Home
55.6% (662)
52.9% (291)
Away
48.3% (542)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Larkin
Colton
P1
49.9%
50.6%
P2
52.7%
54.4%
P3
53.0%
51.6%
OT
68.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ross Colton |